Rayo Santa Cruz vs Peña Revilla SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
RSC
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 2
ARE
49%
23%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SEL
3 - 1
RSC
58%
22%
20%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 0
SMA
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 2
RSC
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Revilla SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PRE
3 - 1
MFC
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
RIB
3 - 1
PRE
65%
20%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PRE
5 - 2
TEX
23%
23%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NAV
2 - 0
PRE
31%
25%
44%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PRE
0 - 1
NOJ
64%
20%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |