Rayo Santa Cruz vs Estrella Roja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
RSC
0 - 0
MFC
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GAM
2 - 0
RSC
63%
20%
17%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAY
1 - 2
RSC
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RIB
0 - 1
RSC
67%
19%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
RSC
1 - 0
TEX
23%
23%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella Roja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ERO
2 - 0
MFC
25%
22%
53%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RIB
3 - 1
ERO
76%
15%
8%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ERO
1 - 1
TEX
13%
20%
67%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NAV
2 - 2
ERO
47%
23%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ERO
0 - 1
NOJ
22%
22%
56%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |