Rangers Talca vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
4º
18
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 69 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 36 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 34 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 34 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 30 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
88.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rangers Talca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
CSD
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CSD
0 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SWA
4 - 0
CSD
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CSD
1 - 0
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
CSD
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
USF
1 - 2
BAR
18%
24%
58%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DEP
4 - 0
USF
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
USF
1 - 1
ANT
22%
25%
52%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 2
USF
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
USF
1 - 1
DSC
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |