Rangers Talca vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
4º
34
4º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 69 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 36 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 34 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 34 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 30 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
88.5% | 57.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rangers Talca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SWA
4 - 0
CSD
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CSD
1 - 0
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
CSD
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CSD
2 - 0
LIM
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 1
CSD
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
DER
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 0
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
ANT
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 3
CUR
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAN
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |