Macará vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CUE
1 - 1
MAC
29%
29%
43%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 1
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TEC
0 - 1
MAC
32%
28%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 0
BSC
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
EME
3 - 1
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
UCE
0 - 2
AUC
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
UCE
2 - 2
BSC
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
EME
3 - 1
UCE
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
UCE
2 - 2
DEL
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 3
UCE
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |