Macará vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 2
UCE
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CUE
1 - 1
MAC
29%
29%
43%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 1
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TEC
0 - 1
MAC
32%
28%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 0
BSC
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
DEL
3 - 0
RIV
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 4
EME
13%
23%
65%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
LIG
4 - 1
RIV
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
IVT
4 - 0
RIV
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |