Macará vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 3
MAC
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 2
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LIG
2 - 0
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 1
CUE
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
EME
2 - 1
MAC
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 3
MAC
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
UCE
0 - 0
RIV
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 2
FAM
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
CLA
4 - 1
RIV
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 0
DEL
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |