Macará vs Orense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
DEL
2 - 0
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MAC
3 - 2
OCT
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
EME
2 - 0
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
UCE
1 - 1
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
MUS
0 - 0
MAC
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Orense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
ORE
0 - 2
MUS
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ORE
0 - 1
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
RIV
4 - 1
ORE
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
CUE
1 - 0
ORE
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
BSC
2 - 0
ORE
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |