Macará vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
EME
1 - 0
MAC
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 0
UCE
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
MAC
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 0
LIG
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
OLM
0 - 2
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MUS
3 - 2
RIV
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DEL
1 - 0
MUS
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
MUS
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
MUS
0 - 2
IVT
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
AUC
1 - 1
MUS
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |