Macará vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
18%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
1º
52
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
MAC
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 0
GUA
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 0
MAC
20%
27%
53%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 0
CUN
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAC
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
OCT
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 0
MAN
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
AME
38%
29%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
GUA
49%
27%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
MAN
25%
29%
46%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |