Macará vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
TEC
3 - 1
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 1
OCT
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 0
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BSC
5 - 3
MAC
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LIG
2 - 0
RIV
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DEL
3 - 0
LIG
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 2
LIG
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LIG
2 - 2
IVT
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 2
LIG
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |