Macará vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 2
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 1
QUI
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAC
43%
28%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LDU
1 - 1
MAC
33%
29%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
BSC
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 0
LIG
44%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 1
LIG
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LIG
4 - 0
MAN
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CUE
3 - 0
LIG
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 1
LIG
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |