Macará vs Independiente Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
1º
51
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAC
18%
26%
56%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 1
AME
61%
24%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAC
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
MAC
22%
27%
51%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
CUN
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
INJ
3 - 1
OCT
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
INJ
28%
29%
43%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
INJ
2 - 3
CHA
61%
24%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
INJ
0 - 0
MAN
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
AME
0 - 1
INJ
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |