Macará vs Imbabura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
15º
9º
7
10º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 27 |
1º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 27 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 24 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 24 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 23 |
5º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 23 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 23 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 22 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 22 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 20 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 20 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 18 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 18 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 16 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 16 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
BSC
2 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 0
TEC
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
3 - 1
CUE
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 1
MAC
31%
28%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 3
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IMB
4 - 0
LIG
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 2
IMB
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
IMB
0 - 1
ORE
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
IMB
2 - 3
MUS
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DEL
1 - 1
IMB
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |