Macará vs Imbabura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
15º
13º
11
11º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
BSC
2 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 0
TEC
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
3 - 1
CUE
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 1
MAC
31%
28%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 3
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IMB
4 - 0
LIG
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 2
IMB
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
IMB
0 - 1
ORE
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
IMB
2 - 3
MUS
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DEL
1 - 1
IMB
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |