Macará vs Búhos ULVR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
1º
30
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 0
MAC
20%
27%
53%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 0
CUN
68%
21%
11%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAC
27%
28%
45%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 5
LIG
26%
26%
47%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
TEC
3 - 1
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Búhos ULVR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
IMB
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
GUA
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
OCT
26%
28%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
PQU
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
AME
0 - 0
GUA
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |