Macará vs Fuerza Amarilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 1
UCE
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
CLA
1 - 0
MAC
29%
29%
42%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 0
EME
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CUE
0 - 1
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIG
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fuerza Amarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
FAM
0 - 3
EME
20%
25%
55%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
UCE
2 - 0
FAM
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FAM
2 - 0
CUE
32%
27%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
IVT
6 - 0
FAM
68%
20%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
LIG
3 - 1
FAM
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |