Macará vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 2
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 3
OLM
46%
28%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
BSC
0 - 0
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
TEC
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CUE
0 - 1
MAC
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 0
EST
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 1
ESP
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
LIG
4 - 0
QUI
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 1
CRZ
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
QUI
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |