Macará vs Deportivo Cuenca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
15º
7º
4
5º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 27 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 27 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 25 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 24 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
8º
|
1.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 21 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 20 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 19 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 18 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 18 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 16 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 15 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 7 |
16º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 1
MAC
31%
28%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 3
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 4
LIG
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CUN
3 - 1
MAC
53%
22%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
UCE
3 - 0
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Cuenca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CUE
1 - 2
UCE
49%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CUE
1 - 2
ORE
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
EME
0 - 1
CUE
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
CUE
34%
27%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
CUE
2 - 2
LIG
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |