Macará vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
1º
44
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
INJ
1 - 0
MAC
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 0
GUA
66%
22%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
MAC
30%
28%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 2
IMB
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
CHA
66%
22%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
OCT
3 - 0
CSV
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
CSV
2 - 0
CHA
33%
30%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
INJ
0 - 0
CSV
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
CSV
2 - 1
GUA
30%
30%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
CSV
57%
25%
17%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |