Macará vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
1º
44
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
CUN
2 - 3
MAC
22%
27%
51%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
INJ
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
IMB
1 - 1
MAC
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 3
MAC
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
MAN
57%
26%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
CSV
3 - 0
AME
21%
28%
51%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
CSV
68%
21%
11%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
CSV
55%
26%
19%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 1
CHA
27%
29%
43%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
CUN
0 - 0
CSV
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |