Macará vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
48%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MAC
3 - 4
LIG
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
CUE
2 - 1
MAC
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MAC
2 - 1
AUC
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
BSC
3 - 0
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
IVT
4 - 0
ORE
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 2
IVT
21%
24%
55%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
IVT
3 - 0
EME
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
IVT
2 - 0
NAC
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
IVT
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |