Macará vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 3
MAC
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 0
GUA
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LDU
0 - 1
MAC
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 3
FAM
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
DPT
1 - 2
MAC
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TEC
2 - 0
OLM
46%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 0
TEC
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TEC
2 - 1
IMB
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
IMB
1 - 3
TEC
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
TEC
1 - 1
DEP
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |