Macará vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 1
EME
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
IVT
0 - 3
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 1
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 0
CUE
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
BSC
0 - 1
TEC
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TEC
0 - 0
LIG
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 0
TEC
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
TEC
0 - 2
MAN
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
OLM
4 - 1
TEC
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |