Macará vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LIG
2 - 0
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 1
CUE
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
EME
2 - 1
MAC
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MAC
7 - 1
CLA
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
UCE
0 - 1
MAC
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEL
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
IVT
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
4 - 2
LIG
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 2
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
CUE
52%
24%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |