Macará vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
EME
3 - 0
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 4
MAC
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
BSC
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
CUE
0 - 0
MAC
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
LOJ
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 1
CUE
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
TEC
1 - 3
NAC
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
LOJ
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 2
IVT
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
EME
2 - 1
NAC
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |