Macará vs Barcelona SC analysis

Macará Barcelona SC
63 ELO 78
3.7% Tilt -5.2%
611º General ELO ranking 417º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.3%
Macará
29.3%
Draw
41.4%
Barcelona SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
Macará
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
41.4%
Win probability
Barcelona SC
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Macará
-3%
+8%
Barcelona SC

ELO progression

Macará
Barcelona SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Macará
Macará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2013
NAC
CD El Nacional
2 - 0
Macará
MAC
68%
20%
12%
64 74 10 0
27 Nov. 2013
MAC
Macará
2 - 1
Manta
MAN
37%
28%
35%
63 71 8 +1
23 Nov. 2013
LOJ
LDU Loja
4 - 1
Macará
MAC
65%
22%
14%
64 74 10 -1
10 Nov. 2013
MAC
Macará
2 - 0
Independiente del Valle
IVT
22%
25%
52%
63 78 15 +1
03 Nov. 2013
QUI
Dep. Quito
3 - 0
Macará
MAC
69%
20%
11%
63 78 15 0

Matches

Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2013
BSC
Barcelona SC
0 - 1
Universidad Católica
UCE
46%
26%
28%
78 76 2 0
28 Nov. 2013
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
0 - 0
Barcelona SC
BSC
36%
29%
35%
78 72 6 0
24 Nov. 2013
BSC
Barcelona SC
1 - 0
Liga de Quito
LIG
52%
27%
21%
78 78 0 0
10 Nov. 2013
NAC
CD El Nacional
0 - 1
Barcelona SC
BSC
47%
26%
27%
78 74 4 0
03 Nov. 2013
EME
CS Emelec
0 - 0
Barcelona SC
BSC
52%
26%
22%
78 80 2 0