Copa Ecuador Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
CUE
0 - 2
IVT
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
UCE
0 - 1
IVT
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
IVT
3 - 1
IMB
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 1
IVT
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
IVT
5 - 2
UCE
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
UCE
2 - 0
EME
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
UCE
0 - 1
IVT
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 1
UCE
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
UCE
2 - 1
IMB
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
IVT
5 - 2
UCE
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |