Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
IVT
0 - 0
FAM
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 0
IVT
32%
26%
43%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
IVT
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CUE
1 - 0
IVT
25%
26%
50%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 1
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
UCE
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
UCE
1 - 0
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 0
UCE
36%
29%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
UCE
0 - 0
EME
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 2
UCE
36%
30%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |