Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
BSC
2 - 1
IVT
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
IVT
3 - 0
QUI
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CUE
0 - 2
IVT
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 3
LIG
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
UCE
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 3
UCE
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
UCE
1 - 3
CUE
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 1
UCE
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
UCE
0 - 2
BSC
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
UCE
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |