Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CUE
1 - 3
IVT
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 0
LIG
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
IVT
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
IVT
3 - 0
BSC
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 3
IVT
22%
25%
52%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
UCE
0 - 0
QUI
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
EME
7 - 0
UCE
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
UCE
1 - 1
MAC
76%
16%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
UCE
1 - 0
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CUE
2 - 2
UCE
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |