Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
EME
1 - 1
IVT
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
IVT
2 - 1
LIG
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
DEL
2 - 1
IVT
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
IVT
1 - 0
UCE
50%
24%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
IVT
1 - 0
MAC
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
UCE
4 - 0
RIV
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 1
LIG
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 0
BSC
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
FAM
0 - 2
RIV
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 1
CLA
58%
25%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |