Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LOJ
3 - 2
IVT
20%
25%
54%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 0
EME
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
IVT
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 4
IVT
24%
26%
51%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
IVT
0 - 1
UCE
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
MUS
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
CUE
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
BSC
0 - 1
RIV
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 1
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |