Independiente del Valle vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
OLM
2 - 3
IVT
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
IVT
0 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LIG
2 - 0
IVT
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
EME
1 - 0
IVT
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
IVT
1 - 0
MUS
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
EME
2 - 1
MAN
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 0
MUS
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
UCE
2 - 1
MAN
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 0
LOJ
34%
28%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |