Independiente del Valle vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CUE
0 - 1
IVT
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 3
IVT
36%
26%
37%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 1
AUC
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
IVT
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
IVT
0 - 3
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 2
UCE
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DEL
0 - 1
LIG
39%
30%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 1
BSC
41%
28%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 0
AUC
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CUE
0 - 0
LIG
42%
29%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |