Independiente del Valle vs Fuerza Amarilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
IVT
2 - 0
MEL
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 1
IVT
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 0
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
IVT
0 - 2
EME
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 1
IVT
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fuerza Amarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 0
NAC
49%
29%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CUE
3 - 0
FAM
39%
29%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 0
LIG
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BSC
2 - 1
FAM
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
FAM
0 - 0
MUS
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |