Independiente del Valle vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
12º
2º
9
10º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 2
IVT
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 2
IVT
51%
22%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
IVT
1 - 0
TEC
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 3
IVT
23%
28%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BSC
3 - 2
IVT
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
EME
0 - 0
TEC
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
EME
2 - 1
ORE
43%
29%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DEL
0 - 1
EME
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
EME
0 - 1
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
MUS
3 - 0
EME
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |