Independiente del Valle vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
IVT
1 - 1
TRU
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
TRU
0 - 1
IVT
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
IVT
1 - 1
OLM
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 3
IVT
26%
26%
49%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
IVT
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
EME
2 - 1
AGU
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
EME
5 - 0
NAC
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 1
EME
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
EME
3 - 0
CUE
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
OLM
1 - 1
EME
31%
29%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |