Independiente del Valle vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
EME
1 - 1
IVT
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
IVT
4 - 1
TEC
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
TEC
0 - 2
IVT
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
IVT
2 - 1
EME
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 1
IVT
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
QUI
4 - 1
UCH
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 0
OLM
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
OLM
4 - 4
QUI
24%
28%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BSC
0 - 0
QUI
37%
29%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
5 - 0
CHI
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |