Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BSC
1 - 4
IVT
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
IVT
2 - 0
QUI
62%
22%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LOJ
0 - 0
IVT
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
CCP
3 - 0
IVT
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
IVT
1 - 0
CCP
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Cuenca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CUE
1 - 0
MAN
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
OLM
2 - 2
CUE
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CUE
1 - 1
MUS
47%
29%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CUE
0 - 2
BSC
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LIG
1 - 1
CUE
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |