Independiente del Valle vs LDU Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
QUI
3 - 0
IVT
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
IVT
2 - 1
BSC
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
IVT
4 - 0
UCE
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CUE
0 - 1
IVT
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
IVT
3 - 1
LIG
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MUS
1 - 1
LOJ
34%
28%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LOJ
1 - 2
UCE
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
UCE
4 - 1
LOJ
45%
25%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LOJ
2 - 1
MUS
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LOJ
0 - 0
IVT
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |