Independiente del Valle vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 4
IVT
34%
26%
41%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
LIG
4 - 2
IVT
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
IVT
3 - 0
JUN
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
IVT
2 - 2
UCE
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
BSC
0 - 3
IVT
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
MUS
2 - 0
MAC
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
MAC
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 0
EME
34%
27%
40%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
OLM
1 - 2
MAC
29%
29%
42%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 1
UCE
45%
25%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |