Independiente del Valle vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
12º
2º
19
6º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
IVT
1 - 2
UCE
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
CUE
0 - 2
IVT
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
UCE
0 - 1
IVT
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
IVT
3 - 1
IMB
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 1
IVT
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 0
MUS
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
ORE
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 2
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
DEL
1 - 1
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
3 - 0
BSC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |