Independiente del Valle vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
CUE
2 - 0
IVT
27%
27%
47%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
IVT
0 - 0
RIV
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
EME
1 - 1
IVT
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
IVT
2 - 1
LIG
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
DEL
2 - 1
IVT
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
4 - 2
FAM
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
UCE
1 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 3
BSC
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
CUE
3 - 1
NAC
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |