Independiente del Valle vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
OLM
2 - 2
IVT
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
IVT
0 - 3
EME
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
BSC
1 - 1
IVT
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
IVT
2 - 3
BSC
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
EME
3 - 1
IVT
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
EME
1 - 1
NAC
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
4 - 2
CUE
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
NAC
38%
28%
33%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CUE
2 - 2
NAC
45%
29%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |