Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 0-1
Independiente del Valle vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
IVT
1 - 0
ORE
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
IVT
2 - 1
LFC
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 1
IVT
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
IVT
1 - 1
LIG
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 1
IVT
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
BOC
2 - 1
ALM
66%
21%
12%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 0
VEL
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 0
BOC
37%
29%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
BOC
4 - 0
NAC
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BOC
0 - 0
TAL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |