Copa Ecuador Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Independiente del Valle vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
IVT
2 - 0
DEL
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 3
IVT
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CUE
2 - 1
IVT
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
IVT
3 - 0
MEL
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 2
UCE
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 0
CUE
49%
24%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
OCT
44%
23%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 1
OCT
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
0 - 3
EME
41%
25%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 0
MUS
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |