CSD Arzua vs SD Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
64%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CLU
3 - 1
ARZ
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ARZ
3 - 3
SDO
38%
25%
37%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 2
ARZ
65%
20%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ARZ
0 - 2
SOF
24%
23%
53%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 0
ARZ
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SD Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NEG
0 - 0
ORD
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
SIG
4 - 3
NEG
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
NEG
3 - 0
AES
73%
17%
11%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
POL
1 - 3
NEG
31%
23%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
NEG
2 - 1
SAN
52%
23%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |