Grecia vs Rocafuerte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
AUD
1 - 1
GRE
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 1
IMB
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
MUN
2 - 0
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GRE
4 - 6
IVT
38%
29%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
UCE
1 - 0
GRE
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rocafuerte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ROC
4 - 1
UCE
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DPT
1 - 0
ROC
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
ROC
1 - 0
AUC
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
AUD
1 - 1
ROC
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ROC
3 - 1
LOJ
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |