CSA vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
CSA
1 - 1
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
CSA
76%
17%
7%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
CSA
50%
27%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CSA
4 - 1
BAH
16%
24%
60%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CSA
2 - 2
VIT
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 2
BAH
14%
23%
63%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
78%
15%
6%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
CSA
50%
27%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
VIT
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BAH
1 - 2
VIT
59%
24%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |