CSA vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
JAC
1 - 4
CSA
8%
16%
77%
|
68 | 24 | 44 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
MUR
87%
10%
3%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
CSA
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 0
MOT
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 1
BRA
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 2
GLO
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
TRE
66%
21%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
TRE
1 - 1
VIL
23%
30%
47%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
JAC
3 - 2
TRE
42%
29%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
TRE
1 - 1
MAN
42%
29%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |